· Analysis updated 18:13 UTC
Rudar vs Mladost Lješkopolje Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Rudar and 1.58 for Mladost Lješkopolje, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rudar home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mladost Lješkopolje away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–16.9%
- 1–06.8%
Recent form
Rudar
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mogren · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Zeta · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Berane · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Grbalj · 1-3 (L)
Mladost Lješkopolje
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-1 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2026-05-20T15:30:00.000Z · Rudar 0-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2026-03-28T13:00:00.000Z · Rudar 2-3 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2025-12-10T12:00:00.000Z · Rudar 4-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2025-09-24T16:00:00.000Z · Rudar 2-2 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2025-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · Rudar 3-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2025-03-01T14:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-2 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2024-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · Rudar 5-2 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2024-08-17T18:30:00.000Z · Rudar 3-0 Mladost Lješkopolje (Second League)
- 2022-05-14T17:00:00.000Z · Rudar 1-1 Mladost Lješkopolje (First League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.