Stade Aimé Vachaudez · Analysis updated 13:39 UTC
RUS Binche vs Stade Verviers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for RUS Binche and 1.20 for Stade Verviers, a combined total of 2.23. That distribution gives Stade Verviers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.8% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RUS Binche home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stade Verviers away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stade Verviers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 31% / 29% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for RUS Binche and 1.20 for Stade Verviers, a combined 2.23 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.3%
- 0–113.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–010.8%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
RUS Binche
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Entité Manageoise · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aywaille · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs La Calamine · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Mouscronnois · 4-4 (D)
Stade Verviers
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · RUS Binche 0-3 Stade Verviers (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2025-11-22T18:30:00.000Z · RUS Binche 1-0 Stade Verviers (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2023-11-04T19:00:00.000Z · RUS Binche 2-1 Stade Verviers (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braine | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ganshoren | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | RUS Binche | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stade Verviers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Richelle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Huy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Calamine | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.