· Analysis updated 14:17 UTC
Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Rushall Olympic and 1.30 for Stourbridge, a combined total of 3.02. That distribution gives Rushall Olympic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rushall Olympic win
47.4% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rushall Olympic home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Stourbridge away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rushall Olympic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 24% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Rushall Olympic and 1.30 for Stourbridge, a combined 3.02 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–27.1%
Recent form
Rushall Olympic
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Halesowen Town · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stourbridge · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Kettering Town · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Harborough Town · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Peterborough Sports · 2-4 (L)
Stourbridge
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Real Bedford · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hitchin Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rushall Olympic · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-01T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Leamington · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Banbury United · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rushall Olympic win, at 47.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.