· Analysis updated 08:51 UTC
Ružomberok II vs Sokol Medzibrod Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.40 expected goals for Ružomberok II and 1.10 for Sokol Medzibrod, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Ružomberok II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Ružomberok II win
80.4% probability
Expected goals
3.40 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ružomberok II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sokol Medzibrod away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ružomberok II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 11% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.40 goals for Ružomberok II and 1.10 for Sokol Medzibrod, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 4–16.8%
- 2–06.4%
Recent form
Ružomberok II
- 2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Fomat Martin · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Kalinovo · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Novohrad Lučenec · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Banská Byst II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Podkonice · 4-4 (D)
Sokol Medzibrod
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Kalinovo · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Novohrad Lučenec · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dolný Kubín · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Banská Byst II · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
3. liga - Center table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ružomberok II | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 29 |
| 2 | Námestovo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Čadca | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 25 |
| 4 | Fomat Martin | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Fiľakovo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Oravské Veselé | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Podkonice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Baník Kalinovo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Rimavská Sobota | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Novohrad Lučenec | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Banská Byst II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Kysucké Nové Mesto | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 13 | Sokol Medzibrod | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -21 | 8 |
| 14 | Dolný Kubín | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ružomberok II win, at 80.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.