· Analysis updated 04:59 UTC
Ružomberok II vs Trenčín II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.18 expected goals for Ružomberok II and 1.35 for Trenčín II, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Ružomberok II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ružomberok II win
73.2% probability
Expected goals
3.18 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ružomberok II home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Trenčín II away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ružomberok II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 14% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.18 goals for Ružomberok II and 1.35 for Trenčín II, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.8%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.2%
- 3–05.8%
- 2–05.5%
Recent form
Ružomberok II
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Banská Byst II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Podkonice · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Oravské Veselé · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Čadca · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 1-1 (D)
Trenčín II
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nové Zámky · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Veľké Ludince · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ružomberok II win, at 73.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.