· Analysis updated 15:34 UTC
Ružomberok vs Skalica Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Ružomberok and 1.10 for Skalica, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Ružomberok the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Ružomberok win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ružomberok home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Skalica away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ružomberok to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Ružomberok and 1.10 for Skalica, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–18.2%
Recent form
Ružomberok
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Opava · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Košice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemplín Michalovce · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava · 1-1 (D)
Skalica
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Podbrezová · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Fomat Martin · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 1-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 23 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Skalica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Komárno | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ružomberok win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.