Slovakia · I Liga - Women · Matchweek 110:00
Ružomberok WLWWLL

1 – 2

Saturday, 15 August 2026

Komárno WWWDLL

· Analysis updated 08:35 UTC

Ružomberok W vs Komárno W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Ružomberok W and 2.05 for Komárno W, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Komárno W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

61.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.98 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ružomberok W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Komárno W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Ružomberok W win38%
Draw21%
Komárno W win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–35.1%

Recent form

Ružomberok W

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-4 (L)

Komárno W

  • 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-8 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-3 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-2 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 3-0 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-3 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2026-03-07T13:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-1 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 2-1 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-0 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-03-22T13:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-0 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2025-03-15T13:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 2-4 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)
  • 2024-10-05T09:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-1 Komárno W (I Liga - Women)

I Liga - Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Myjava W1010006030
2Slovan Bratislava W109014027
3Trenčín W10613719
4Z. Moravce-Vrable W10505-215
5Komárno W10424-814
6Tatran Prešov W10415-313
7Spartak Trnava W10415-1413
8Ružomberok W10307-169
9Dukla Banská Bystrica W10118-284
10Petržalka W10109-363

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.