· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC
Ružomberok W vs Spartak Myjava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Ružomberok W and 4.50 for Spartak Myjava W, a combined total of 5.78. That distribution gives Spartak Myjava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Spartak Myjava W win
87.4% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ružomberok W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Myjava W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
13%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.8%
- 1–56.1%
- 1–36.0%
- 0–45.3%
- 0–54.8%
Recent form
Ružomberok W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-4 (L)
Spartak Myjava W
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs PAOK W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PAOK W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno W · 8-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-4 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-11-08T10:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-4 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-2 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-05-14T14:30:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-3 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-04-18T16:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-5 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-03-07T15:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-2 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-09-28T16:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-5 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-06-08T12:30:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 0-6 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-05-04T09:00:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 3-2 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-03-02T13:30:00.000Z · Ružomberok W 1-3 Spartak Myjava W (I Liga - Women)
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Spartak Myjava W win, at 87.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 87% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.