· Analysis updated 16:51 UTC
Ružomberok W vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Ružomberok W and 2.80 for Z. Moravce-Vrable W, a combined total of 4.73. That distribution gives Z. Moravce-Vrable W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Z. Moravce-Vrable W win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 2.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ružomberok W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Z. Moravce-Vrable W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Z. Moravce-Vrable W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 26% / 18% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Ružomberok W and 2.80 for Z. Moravce-Vrable W, a combined 4.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–36.2%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–14.8%
Recent form
Ružomberok W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-4 (L)
Z. Moravce-Vrable W
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Z. Moravce-Vrable W win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.