· Analysis updated 00:01 UTC
RW Oberhausen U19 vs Darmstadt 98 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for RW Oberhausen U19 and 1.43 for Darmstadt 98 U19, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives RW Oberhausen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.3% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.43
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RW Oberhausen U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Darmstadt 98 U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RW Oberhausen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for RW Oberhausen U19 and 1.43 for Darmstadt 98 U19, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.7%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–16.4%
Recent form
RW Oberhausen U19
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Schalke 04 U19 · 0-2 (L)
Darmstadt 98 U19
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.