· Analysis updated 15:17 UTC
RW Oberhausen U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for RW Oberhausen U19 and 2.22 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives Viktoria Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Köln U19 win
48.5% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 2.22
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RW Oberhausen U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 31% / 20% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for RW Oberhausen U19 and 2.22 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
RW Oberhausen U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Schalke 04 U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 2-4 (L)
Viktoria Köln U19
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Köln U19 win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.