· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC
RWDM U21 vs Kortrijk U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for RWDM U21 and 1.45 for Kortrijk U21, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Kortrijk U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.8% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RWDM U21 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kortrijk U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 31% / 26% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for RWDM U21 and 1.45 for Kortrijk U21, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–27.4%
Recent form
RWDM U21
- 2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Francs Borains U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Westerlo U21 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Lierse K. U21 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sp. Hasselt U21 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 · 1-0 (W)
Kortrijk U21
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waasland-Beveren U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | Westerlo U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Kortrijk U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | RWDM U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | RAAL La Louviere U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Francs Borains U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | RFC de Liege U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | Lierse K. U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 11 | Sp. Hasselt U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.