Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · Matchweek 3008:30

3 – 2

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Dulwich HillLLWLD

· Analysis updated 06:18 UTC

Rydalmere Lions vs Dulwich Hill Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Rydalmere Lions and 1.67 for Dulwich Hill, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Dulwich Hill the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dulwich Hill away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dulwich Hill to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 24% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Rydalmere Lions and 1.67 for Dulwich Hill, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Rydalmere Lions win34%
Draw24%
Dulwich Hill win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 2–26.5%

Recent form

Rydalmere Lions

    Dulwich Hill

    • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Rydalmere Lions · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-22T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Lions · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle Jets II · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Macarthur Rams · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Canterbury Bankstown · 3-3 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    New South Wales NPL 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Blacktown Spartans3021634369
    2Northern Tigers3017852559
    3Bankstown City Lions3017582056
    4Canterbury Bankstown3015691851
    5Hills Brumbies3014791749
    6Macarthur Rams3014610448
    7Hakoah Sydney City30111091243
    8Rydalmere Lions3011811-341
    9Bulls Academy3011514238
    10Inter Lions3010515-1535
    11Hurstville FC309615-1333
    12Central Coast II308715-2131
    13Dulwich Hill307914-1830
    14Newcastle Jets II3061113-1829
    15Prospect United3041412-1926
    16Mt Druitt Town306519-3423

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

    A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.