· Analysis updated 06:07 UTC
Saarbrücken U19 vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 3.10 for Bayer Leverkusen U19, a combined total of 4.44. That distribution gives Bayer Leverkusen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bayer Leverkusen U19 win
72.2% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 3.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saarbrücken U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bayer Leverkusen U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bayer Leverkusen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 14% / 14% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 3.10 for Bayer Leverkusen U19, a combined 4.44 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–46.1%
- 0–35.8%
- 0–25.7%
Recent form
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
Bayer Leverkusen U19
- 2026-10-24T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 4-6 (L)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bayer Leverkusen U19 win, at 72.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.