· Analysis updated 04:30 UTC
Saarbrücken U19 vs Bochum U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 4.08 for Bochum U19, a combined total of 5.20. That distribution gives Bochum U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bochum U19 win
86.3% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 4.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saarbrücken U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bochum U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 6% / 8% / 86% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 4.08 for Bochum U19, a combined 5.20 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
14%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–47.1%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–46.3%
- 0–36.2%
- 1–55.8%
Recent form
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
Bochum U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bochum U19 win, at 86.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.