· Analysis updated 08:25 UTC
Saarbrücken U19 vs FK Pirmasens U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 1.88 for FK Pirmasens U19, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives FK Pirmasens U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FK Pirmasens U19 win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saarbrücken U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
FK Pirmasens U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Pirmasens U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 22% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 1.88 for FK Pirmasens U19, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
FK Pirmasens U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FK Pirmasens U19 win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.