· Analysis updated 15:07 UTC
Saarbrücken U19 vs Schott Mainz U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.55 expected goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 1.20 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Saarbrücken U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Saarbrücken U19 win
80.3% probability
Expected goals
3.55 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saarbrücken U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Schott Mainz U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Saarbrücken U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 11% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.55 goals for Saarbrücken U19 and 1.20 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.7%
- 4–16.9%
- 2–16.5%
- 3–06.5%
- 4–05.7%
Recent form
Saarbrücken U19
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 0-4 (L)
Schott Mainz U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · Saarbrücken U19 0-4 Schott Mainz U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2026-02-28T12:00:00.000Z · Saarbrücken U19 0-2 Schott Mainz U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Saarbrücken U19 win, at 80.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.