· Analysis updated 12:57 UTC
Sabadell vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.40 expected goals for Sabadell and 1.45 for Inter Club d'Escaldes, a combined total of 4.85. That distribution gives Sabadell the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sabadell win
74.3% probability
Expected goals
3.40 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sabadell home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Inter Club d'Escaldes away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sabadell to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 13% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.40 goals for Sabadell and 1.45 for Inter Club d'Escaldes, a combined 4.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.4%
- 2–16.6%
- 4–16.3%
- 3–25.4%
- 3–05.1%
Recent form
Sabadell
- 2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Burgos · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:15:00.000Z · A vs AD Ceuta FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T19:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Andorra · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Celta de Vigo II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Oviedo · 3-1 (W)
Inter Club d'Escaldes
- 2026-10-15T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Mjallby AIF · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Ordino · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodez · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranger's · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carroi · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sabadell win, at 74.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.