Bank Respublika Arena · Referee F. Hajiyev · Analysis updated 22:45 UTC
Sabah FA vs Kapaz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.26 expected goals for Sabah FA and 0.32 for Kapaz, a combined total of 1.58. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 21% for over 2.5 goals and 20% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.
Model pick
Sabah FA to Win
60.9% probability
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–026.0%
- 0–020.6%
- 2–016.4%
- 1–18.3%
- 3–06.9%
Why the model likes this
Sabah FA home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sabah FA to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 30% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.26 goals for Sabah FA and 0.32 for Kapaz, a combined 1.58 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 21% and both teams to score at 20%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%.
Recent form
Sabah FA
- 2026-08-15T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Kapaz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KuPS · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KuPS · 1-0 (W)
Kapaz
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premyer Liqa table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.