Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium · Analysis updated 12:05 UTC
Sabah FA vs Persib Bandung Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Sabah FA and 1.33 for Persib Bandung, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Persib Bandung the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.2% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sabah FA home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Persib Bandung away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Persib Bandung to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 35% / 27% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Sabah FA and 1.33 for Persib Bandung, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.9%
Recent form
Sabah FA
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs DPMM FC Brunei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuching FA · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-02T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Selangor · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-28T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Penang · 2-0 (W)
Persib Bandung
- 2026-10-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Persepam Madura Utd · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Persik Kediri · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Viettel · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Dewa United · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Port FC · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.