· Analysis updated 15:30 UTC
Saham vs Al Seeb Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Saham and 1.44 for Al Seeb, a combined total of 2.27. That distribution gives Al Seeb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al Seeb win
51.3% probability
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saham home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Seeb away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Seeb to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 22% / 27% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.83 goals for Saham and 1.44 for Al Seeb, a combined 2.27 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.9%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–210.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 1–28.9%
Recent form
Saham
- 2026-09-25T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Al Musannah · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-21T13:35:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-10T13:40:00.000Z · A vs Ibri · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Bahla · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-31T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 0-1 (L)
Al Seeb
- 2026-09-24T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Sohar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Ibri · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Shorta · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-10T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FA Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al Seeb win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.