Oman · Professional League · Matchweek 2414:05
SahamLWWWL

1 – 0

Wednesday, 13 May 2026

Oman ClubLLWW

· Analysis updated 13:13 UTC

Saham vs Oman Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Saham and 0.83 for Oman Club, a combined total of 1.85. That distribution gives Saham the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

71.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.02 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Saham home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Oman Club away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Saham win39%
Draw32%
Oman Club win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams to score36%

Correct score

  • 1–016.0%
  • 0–015.7%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–113.1%
  • 2–08.1%

Recent form

Saham

  • 2026-10-17T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Fanja · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:05:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T14:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Shabab · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T14:35:00.000Z · H vs Al Musannah · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-21T13:35:00.000Z · A vs Al-Nahda · 1-1 (D)

Oman Club

  • 2026-08-25T13:50:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fanja · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rustaq · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Saham · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · Saham 1-0 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2026-01-25T16:05:00.000Z · Saham 1-0 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2025-01-22T15:30:00.000Z · Saham 0-1 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2024-08-16T13:55:00.000Z · Saham 1-2 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2022-04-29T18:15:00.000Z · Saham 2-1 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2022-01-11T16:10:00.000Z · Saham 1-2 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2021-01-31T15:30:00.000Z · Saham 1-0 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2020-01-28T15:15:00.000Z · Saham 1-1 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2019-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · Saham 2-1 Oman Club (Professional League)
  • 2019-03-12T16:25:00.000Z · Saham 4-0 Oman Club (Professional League)

Professional League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr4400612
2Saham530209
3Al Seeb421137
4Al-Nahda321027
5Al-Shabab320126
6Bahla420206
7Oman Club420206
8Smail5131-36
9Ibri512225
10Fanja5122-15
11Dhofar5122-25
12Sohar4121-25
13Al Musannah5113-14
14Sur4004-60

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.