· Analysis updated 12:12 UTC
Saint-Colomban Locminé vs Les Herbiers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for Saint-Colomban Locminé and 0.70 for Les Herbiers, a combined total of 1.72. That distribution gives Saint-Colomban Locminé the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
75.4% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 0.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saint-Colomban Locminé home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Les Herbiers away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Saint-Colomban Locminé to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 33% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for Saint-Colomban Locminé and 0.70 for Les Herbiers, a combined 1.72 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.2%
- 0–017.9%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.6%
- 2–09.3%
Recent form
Saint-Colomban Locminé
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Saint-Malo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinan Léhon · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Briochin · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Les Herbiers · 1-1 (D)
Les Herbiers
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayonne · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tarbes · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Chauray · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Avranches · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinan Léhon · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National 2 - Group B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angoulême | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Bayonne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Avranches | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lorient II | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Granville | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Dinan Léhon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Stade Briochin | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Le Poiré sur Vie | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Saint-Colomban Locminé | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Les Herbiers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Saumur | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontivy GSI | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 16 | Chauray | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 75.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.