Salgótarjáni BTC vs Tiszaújváros Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Salgótarjáni BTC and 1.18 for Tiszaújváros, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Tiszaújváros the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

69.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Salgótarjáni BTC home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tiszaújváros away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tiszaújváros to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 30% / 29% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Salgótarjáni BTC and 1.18 for Tiszaújváros, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Salgótarjáni BTC win30%

Draw29%

Tiszaújváros win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%

Over 2.5 goals37%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

0–113.6%
1–113.3%
0–011.5%
1–011.3%
0–28.0%

Recent form

Salgótarjáni BTC

2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs DEAC · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Füzesabony · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Diósgyőr II · 0-1 (L)

Tiszaújváros

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karancslapujtő · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	10	8	0	2	24	24
2	Cigand SE	10	7	2	1	15	23
3	DEAC	10	6	2	2	12	20
4	Kisvárda II	10	4	5	1	4	17
5	Debrecen II	10	5	1	4	4	16
6	Diósgyőr II	10	4	4	2	4	16
7	Mátészalka	10	4	4	2	3	16
8	Gödöllő	10	5	1	4	2	16
9	Eger	10	5	1	4	-9	16
10	Füzesabony	10	5	0	5	-1	15
11	Tiszaújváros	10	4	1	5	-1	13
12	Hajdúnánás	10	3	1	6	-10	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	10	3	0	7	-8	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	10	3	0	7	-9	9
15	Tarpa	10	2	0	8	-14	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	10	1	0	9	-16	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.