Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas · Referee L. Villarroel · Analysis updated 14:06 UTC
San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Aurora Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 1.15 for Aurora, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives San Antonio Bulo Bulo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.6% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Aurora away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.0%
Recent form
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
- 2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 2-2 (D)
Aurora
- 2026-09-19T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitario de Vinto · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Guabirá · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T22:00:00.000Z · A vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-08T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-18T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0-1 Aurora (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2026-04-28T00:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-3 Aurora (Primera División)
- 2026-02-22T21:30:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-1 Aurora (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2026-02-19T22:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-1 Aurora (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2025-08-23T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-2 Aurora (Primera División)
- 2025-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 5-2 Aurora (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2025-07-02T22:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3-0 Aurora (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2025-04-13T00:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0-2 Aurora (Primera División)
- 2025-02-21T23:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0-1 Aurora (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2025-02-14T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-3 Aurora (Friendlies Clubs)
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 51 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Blooming | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -20 | 21 |
| 14 | ABB | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.