Estadio Dr. Carlos Villegas · Referee B. Rueda · Analysis updated 17:35 UTC
San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Guabirá Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for San Antonio Bulo Bulo and 1.28 for Guabirá, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives San Antonio Bulo Bulo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
San Antonio Bulo Bulo win
57.3% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Guabirá away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–07.0%
- 3–16.9%
Recent form
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
- 2026-10-24T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
Guabirá
- 2026-10-08T00:30:00.000Z · H vs The Strongest · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Oriente Petrolero · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T21:30:00.000Z · A vs The Strongest · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-21T22:00:00.000Z · H vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-21T22:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-2 Guabirá (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2026-08-31T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 5-1 Guabirá (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2026-05-29T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-2 Guabirá (Primera División)
- 2026-02-07T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0-0 Guabirá (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2026-01-31T23:30:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-2 Guabirá (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2025-11-23T23:30:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Guabirá (Primera División)
- 2025-06-14T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1-1 Guabirá (Primera División)
- 2024-09-25T19:30:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Guabirá (Primera División)
- 2024-05-11T19:00:00.000Z · San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3-2 Guabirá (Primera División)
Copa de la División Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Petrolero | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Aurora | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosí | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | The Strongest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Guabirá | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Always Ready | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | ABB | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Blooming | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is San Antonio Bulo Bulo win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.