· Analysis updated 13:16 UTC
San Juan vs Terrassa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for San Juan and 1.56 for Terrassa, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Terrassa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
San Juan home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Terrassa away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Terrassa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 36% / 24% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for San Juan and 1.56 for Terrassa, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.1%
Recent form
San Juan
- 2026-10-10T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mutilvera · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Subiza · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Beti Onak · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Txantrea · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Izarra · 1-4 (L)
Terrassa
- 2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Olot · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Sestao River · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Ebro · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Arnedo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Binéfar · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Copa Federacion table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navalcarnero | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sestao River | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Salamanca UDS | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Real Murcia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Terrassa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | UD Santa Marta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Conil | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Dos Hermanas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Bergantiños | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Cacereño | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Comillas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Orihuela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Saguntino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Binéfar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Badalona II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Compostela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Derio | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Caudal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | L'Hospitalet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Mensajero | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Torrent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Vimenor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Melilla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Porreres | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | San Juan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | San Fernando CD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | CF Talavera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Motril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | UD San Pedro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Leioa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 32 | Sporting Ceuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.