· Analysis updated 14:47 UTC
San Martín San Juan Res. vs Huracán Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for San Martín San Juan Res. and 1.28 for Huracán Res., a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Huracán Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
71.6% probability
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
San Martín San Juan Res. home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Huracán Res. away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Huracán Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 28% / 28% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for San Martín San Juan Res. and 1.28 for Huracán Res., a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.4%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–28.6%
Recent form
San Martín San Juan Res.
- 2026-10-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente Riva. Res. · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Riestra Res. · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Lanús Res. · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Godoy Cruz Res. · 0-1 (L)
Huracán Res.
- 2026-10-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atl. Rafaela 2 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Platense Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs San Lorenzo Res. · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Quilmes 2 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes La Plata Res · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 71.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.