· Analysis updated 06:04 UTC
Sănătatea Cluj vs SCM Zalău Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Sănătatea Cluj and 0.98 for SCM Zalău, a combined total of 2.29. That distribution gives Sănătatea Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
72.0% probability
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sănătatea Cluj home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SCM Zalău away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sănătatea Cluj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.31 goals for Sănătatea Cluj and 0.98 for SCM Zalău, a combined 2.29 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–010.2%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–08.7%
Recent form
Sănătatea Cluj
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sânmartin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Minaur Baia Mare · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Tășnad · 1-1 (D)
SCM Zalău
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sânmartin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Tășnad · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Sănătatea Cluj | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | SCM Zalău | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Academica Recea | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sânmartin | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Viitorul Cluj | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Bihorul Beiuş | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Unirea Tășnad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 9 |
| 11 | Unirea Dej | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -25 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.