· Analysis updated 15:14 UTC
Sandhausen U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Sandhausen U19 and 1.99 for Greuther Fürth U19, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Sandhausen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.4% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sandhausen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Greuther Fürth U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sandhausen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Sandhausen U19 and 1.99 for Greuther Fürth U19, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Sandhausen U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)
Greuther Fürth U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.