· Analysis updated 15:10 UTC
Sandhausen U19 vs Heidenheim U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Sandhausen U19 and 3.33 for Heidenheim U19, a combined total of 5.20. That distribution gives Heidenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Heidenheim U19 win
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 3.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sandhausen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Heidenheim U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Heidenheim U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 19% / 15% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Sandhausen U19 and 3.33 for Heidenheim U19, a combined 5.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.3%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–25.7%
- 2–25.4%
- 1–45.3%
Recent form
Sandhausen U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)
Heidenheim U19
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs 1860 München U19 · 6-4 (W)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-09T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Heidenheim U19 win, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.