· Analysis updated 18:55 UTC
Sandhausen U19 vs Schott Mainz U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Sandhausen U19 and 1.55 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives Sandhausen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sandhausen U19 win
60.2% probability
Expected goals
2.60 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sandhausen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schott Mainz U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sandhausen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 18% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Sandhausen U19 and 1.55 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–16.4%
- 3–25.5%
Recent form
Sandhausen U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)
Schott Mainz U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · Sandhausen U19 2-1 Schott Mainz U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2026-02-21T12:00:00.000Z · Sandhausen U19 2-0 Schott Mainz U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sandhausen U19 win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.