· Analysis updated 19:12 UTC
Sandhausen U19 vs Ulm U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Sandhausen U19 and 1.79 for Ulm U19, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Sandhausen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sandhausen U19 win
45.4% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sandhausen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ulm U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sandhausen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 21% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Sandhausen U19 and 1.79 for Ulm U19, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.1%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
Sandhausen U19
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)
Ulm U19
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sandhausen U19 win, at 45.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.