· Analysis updated 20:40 UTC
Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Sandnes ULF and 3.50 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined total of 5.25. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bodo/Glimt win
70.4% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 3.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sandnes ULF home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bodo/Glimt away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 16% / 14% / 70% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Sandnes ULF and 3.50 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined 5.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
30%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.6%
- 1–45.7%
- 2–35.7%
- 1–25.6%
- 2–45.0%
Recent form
Sandnes ULF
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Strommen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Moss · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Arendal · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Stromsgodset · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim · 1-1 (D)
Bodo/Glimt
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kristiansund BK · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rana · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Brann · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandefjord · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-10T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayern München · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bodo/Glimt win, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.