· Analysis updated 14:42 UTC
Sándorfalva vs Szolnoki MAV FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Sándorfalva and 2.25 for Szolnoki MAV FC, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Szolnoki MAV FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Szolnoki MAV FC win
53.0% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sándorfalva home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Szolnoki MAV FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Szolnoki MAV FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 27% / 20% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Sándorfalva and 2.25 for Szolnoki MAV FC, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.7%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.5%
- 2–16.1%
Recent form
Sándorfalva
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csepel · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ESMTK · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Szolnoki MAV FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs III. Kerületi TUE · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Újpest II · 1-0 (W)
Szolnoki MAV FC
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyulai Termál · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Újpest II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Monori Se · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárom · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Honvéd II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Szolnoki MAV FC win, at 53.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.