Sandviken vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Sandviken and 2.00 for GIF Sundsvall, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives GIF Sundsvall the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

GIF Sundsvall win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.17 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sandviken home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
GIF Sundsvall away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Sandviken win22%

Draw22%

GIF Sundsvall win57%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–19.8%
1–29.8%
0–18.4%
0–28.4%
1–36.5%

Recent form

Sandviken

2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostersunds FK · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Landskrona BoIS · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs GIF Sundsvall · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Orebro SK · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs IK brage · 1-1 (D)

GIF Sundsvall

2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Oddevold · 0-7 (L)
2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Varnamo · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Norrkoping · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandviken · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ljungskile SK · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 5-0 GIF Sundsvall (Superettan)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 3-0 GIF Sundsvall (Superettan)
2026-03-14T14:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 3-2 GIF Sundsvall (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 0-1 GIF Sundsvall (Superettan)
2025-05-27T17:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 0-1 GIF Sundsvall (Superettan)
2025-03-16T13:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 0-3 GIF Sundsvall (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-11-02T14:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 1-2 GIF Sundsvall (Superettan)
2024-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 0-0 GIF Sundsvall (Superettan)
2024-03-10T15:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 1-1 GIF Sundsvall (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-03-11T15:00:00.000Z · Sandviken 1-1 GIF Sundsvall (Friendlies Clubs)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is GIF Sundsvall win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.