Sandviken vs jerv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Sandviken and 2.34 for jerv, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives jerv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

jerv win

63.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.17 – 2.34

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sandviken home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
jerv away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates jerv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 18% / 19% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.17 goals for Sandviken and 2.34 for jerv, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sandviken win18%

Draw19%

jerv win63%

Double chance 1X

37%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–29.6%
1–18.2%
0–28.2%
1–37.5%
0–17.0%

Recent form

Sandviken

2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Arendal · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lysekloster · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vidar · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Asane · 2-2 (D)

jerv

2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sotra · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Arendal · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lysekloster · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Notodden · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Halden · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Division - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	jerv	24	17	5	2	27	56
2	Bjarg	24	16	2	6	25	50
3	Mjondalen	24	16	2	6	18	50
4	Brattvåg	24	15	3	6	18	48
5	Sotra	24	13	3	8	24	42
6	Notodden	24	10	5	9	7	35
7	Kvik Halden	24	10	4	10	2	34
8	Træff	24	9	7	8	-7	34
9	Arendal	24	8	6	10	-5	30
10	Pors Grenland	24	8	5	11	-3	29
11	Sandviken	24	7	4	13	-15	25
12	Lysekloster	24	4	7	13	-20	19
13	Vidar	24	3	4	17	-40	13
14	Eik-Tønsberg	24	3	1	20	-31	10

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is jerv win, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.