Sandviken vs United Nordic Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Sandviken and 1.17 for United Nordic, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Sandviken the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Sandviken win

53.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sandviken home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
United Nordic away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sandviken to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 23% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Sandviken and 1.17 for United Nordic, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Sandviken win53%

Draw23%

United Nordic win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–110.6%
2–19.8%
1–09.0%
2–08.3%
1–26.2%

Recent form

Sandviken

2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostersunds FK · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Landskrona BoIS · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs GIF Sundsvall · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Orebro SK · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs IK brage · 1-1 (D)

United Nordic

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ostersunds FK · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Norrby IF · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Oddevold · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Orebro SK · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Landskrona BoIS · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superettan table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	28	19	5	4	40	62
2	Falkenbergs FF	27	15	6	6	15	51
3	Ostersunds FK	28	12	12	4	12	48
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	27	13	7	7	11	46
5	Landskrona BoIS	27	12	7	8	13	43
6	Oddevold	28	11	9	8	11	42
7	Osters IF	28	13	3	12	1	42
8	United Nordic	28	10	9	9	-6	39
9	Sandviken	28	10	8	10	6	38
10	Ljungskile SK	28	8	9	11	-1	33
11	Helsingborg	28	8	8	12	-11	32
12	IFK Varnamo	28	9	5	14	-13	32
13	Norrby IF	28	5	12	11	-10	27
14	IK brage	28	6	8	14	-10	26
15	Orebro SK	27	5	11	11	-12	26
16	GIF Sundsvall	28	6	1	21	-46	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sandviken win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.