· Analysis updated 16:03 UTC
Sanna Khanh Hoa vs Than Quang Ninh Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Sanna Khanh Hoa and 0.85 for Than Quang Ninh, a combined total of 2.39. That distribution gives Sanna Khanh Hoa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sanna Khanh Hoa win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sanna Khanh Hoa home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Than Quang Ninh away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.1%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–09.1%
Recent form
Sanna Khanh Hoa
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Văn Hiến · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Văn Hiến · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Than Quang Ninh · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Long An · 0-0 (D)
Than Quang Ninh
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hai Phong · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hung Yen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hồ Chí Minh II · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sanna Khanh Hoa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs PVF-CAND · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-1 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 2)
- 2025-10-18T10:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-0 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 2)
- 2019-07-28T12:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-1 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2019-04-28T11:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-2 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2018-06-22T11:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 2-1 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2018-04-13T10:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-0 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2017-06-28T11:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 1-2 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2017-02-12T10:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 0-3 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2016-09-18T09:30:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 3-1 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
- 2016-02-21T09:00:00.000Z · Sanna Khanh Hoa 2-1 Than Quang Ninh (V.League 1)
V.League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thai Nguyen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Hung Yen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Binh Duong | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Pho Hien | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Văn Hiến | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dong Thap | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Than Quang Ninh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Binh Dinh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ho Chi Minh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Lam Dong | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Bóng đá Huế | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 13 | Long An | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sanna Khanh Hoa win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.