Portugal · Júniores U19 · Regular Season - 911:00

32

Saturday, 11 April 2026

· Analysis updated 01:56 UTC

Santa Clara U19 vs Benfica U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.67 expected goals for Santa Clara U19 and 0.81 for Benfica U19, a combined total of 1.48. That distribution gives Benfica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 37%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 23%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 65% of the time.

Model pick

Santa Clara U19 or Draw

64.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.67 – 0.81

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Santa Clara U19 win28%
Draw37%
Benfica U19 win36%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

63%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals6%
Both teams to score27%

Correct score

  • 0–022.7%
  • 0–118.4%
  • 1–015.3%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–27.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Benfica U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 28% / 37% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.67 goals for Santa Clara U19 and 0.81 for Benfica U19, a combined 1.48 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 19% and both teams to score at 27%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 23%.

Recent form

Santa Clara U19

    Benfica U19

    • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
    • 2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Júniores U19 table

    Full league page →

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.