· Analysis updated 09:09 UTC
Santa Cruz AC U20 vs São Raimundo RR U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Santa Cruz AC U20 and 3.25 for São Raimundo RR U20, a combined total of 6.13. That distribution gives São Raimundo RR U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
São Raimundo RR U20 win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
2.88 – 3.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Santa Cruz AC U20 home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates São Raimundo RR U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 36% / 17% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.88 goals for Santa Cruz AC U20 and 3.25 for São Raimundo RR U20, a combined 6.13 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 93% and both teams to score at 90%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–35.2%
- 3–35.0%
- 2–24.8%
- 3–24.6%
- 2–44.2%
Recent form
Santa Cruz AC U20
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs São Raimundo RR U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs CSA U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-07T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Amazonas U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-10T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Galvez U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs CSE U20 · 3-0 (W)
São Raimundo RR U20
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is São Raimundo RR U20 win, at 47.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 90% and over 2.5 goals at 93%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.