· Analysis updated 07:03 UTC
São Raimundo RR U20 vs Santa Cruz AC U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for São Raimundo RR U20 and 2.60 for Santa Cruz AC U20, a combined total of 5.55. That distribution gives São Raimundo RR U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
São Raimundo RR U20 win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
2.95 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Santa Cruz AC U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates São Raimundo RR U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 17% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.95 goals for São Raimundo RR U20 and 2.60 for Santa Cruz AC U20, a combined 5.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 91% and both teams to score at 87%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–25.7%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–34.9%
- 2–14.4%
Recent form
São Raimundo RR U20
Santa Cruz AC U20
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs São Raimundo RR U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs CSA U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-07T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Amazonas U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-10T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Galvez U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs CSE U20 · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is São Raimundo RR U20 win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 87% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.