· Analysis updated 11:00 UTC
Sao Raimundo vs GAS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.78 expected goals for Sao Raimundo and 0.78 for GAS, a combined total of 1.55. That distribution gives Sao Raimundo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 32%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 32% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.0% probability
Expected goals
0.78 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sao Raimundo home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 32% / 36% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.78 goals for Sao Raimundo and 0.78 for GAS, a combined 1.55 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 20% and both teams to score at 29%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
64%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–021.2%
- 0–116.4%
- 1–016.4%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–26.4%
Recent form
Sao Raimundo
- 2026-06-28T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Porto Velho · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-21T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Porto Velho · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-14T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Manauara · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-30T23:00:00.000Z · H vs GAS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-05-24T21:00:00.000Z · A vs Monte Roraima · 2-2 (D)
GAS
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie D table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.