Sárisápi Bányász vs 1908 SZAC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.76 expected goals for Sárisápi Bányász and 0.78 for 1908 SZAC, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives Sárisápi Bányász the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sárisápi Bányász win

78.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.76 – 0.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sárisápi Bányász home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sárisápi Bányász to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 14% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.76 goals for Sárisápi Bányász and 0.78 for 1908 SZAC, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 51%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Sárisápi Bányász win79%

Draw14%

1908 SZAC win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

2–011.0%
3–010.2%
2–18.6%
1–08.0%
3–17.9%

Recent form

Sárisápi Bányász

2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Veszprém · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Király SZE · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Puskás II · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs SC Sopron · 1-0 (W)

1908 SZAC

2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Haladás VSE · 1-6 (L)
2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 1-5 (L)
2026-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dorogi FC · 0-7 (L)
2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE II · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northwest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	11	8	2	1	22	26
2	Tatabánya	11	8	2	1	20	26
3	Haladás VSE	11	7	4	0	21	25
4	Sárisápi Bányász	11	6	2	3	1	20
5	SC Sopron	11	5	3	3	5	18
6	Bicskei	11	6	0	5	3	18
7	Puskás II	11	5	1	5	3	16
8	MTE 1904	11	4	4	3	3	16
9	Komárom	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	Gyori ETO II	11	4	2	5	2	14
11	Veszprém	11	3	4	4	-3	13
12	Zalaegerszegi TE II	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Pápai Perutz	11	3	2	6	-12	11
14	Király SZE	11	1	4	6	-11	7
15	Balatonalmádi	11	1	2	8	-23	5
16	1908 SZAC	11	0	2	9	-26	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sárisápi Bányász win, at 78.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.