· Analysis updated 12:29 UTC
Saudi Arabia U17 vs Uruguay U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Saudi Arabia U17 and 1.49 for Uruguay U17, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Saudi Arabia U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Saudi Arabia U17 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Saudi Arabia U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 24% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Saudi Arabia U17 and 1.49 for Uruguay U17, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–16.9%
Recent form
Saudi Arabia U17
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Turkey U17 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs China PR U17 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tajikistan U17 · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-05-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Thailand U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Myanmar U17 · 4-0 (W)
Uruguay U17
- 2026-04-18T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Chile U17 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-16T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Venezuela U17 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-09T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Colombia U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-04-07T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Ecuador U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-05T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Paraguay U17 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
World Cup - U17 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.