Stadion Kleinfeld · Referee Z. Prskalo · Analysis updated 09:25 UTC
SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for SC Kriens and 1.35 for FC WIL 1900, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives SC Kriens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SC Kriens win
54.7% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SC Kriens home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
FC WIL 1900 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–06.7%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
SC Kriens
- 2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Yverdon Sport · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FC WIL 1900 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Thun · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Étoile Carouge · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Aarau · 2-2 (D)
FC WIL 1900
- 2026-10-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Rapperswil · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulle · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Kriens · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs SCR Altach · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Stade Nyonnais · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · SC Kriens 2-0 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2025-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · SC Kriens 2-3 FC WIL 1900 (Schweizer Cup)
- 2023-01-20T11:00:00.000Z · SC Kriens 0-2 FC WIL 1900 (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2022-04-09T16:00:00.000Z · SC Kriens 2-1 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2022-03-01T19:15:00.000Z · SC Kriens 1-3 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2021-11-06T17:00:00.000Z · SC Kriens 0-4 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2021-09-03T17:00:00.000Z · SC Kriens 0-2 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2021-04-24T16:15:00.000Z · SC Kriens 2-2 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2021-03-20T17:15:00.000Z · SC Kriens 2-0 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
- 2021-01-29T18:00:00.000Z · SC Kriens 1-2 FC WIL 1900 (Challenge League)
Challenge League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Yverdon Sport | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Winterthur | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | SC Kriens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Aarau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Étoile Carouge | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Rapperswil | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SC Kriens win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.