Germany · 2. Frauen Bundesliga · Matchweek 2612:00
SC Sand WLDWDL

2 – 2

Sunday, 17 May 2026

Rasenplatz Sand · Analysis updated 00:06 UTC

SC Sand W vs Stuttgart W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for SC Sand W and 1.85 for Stuttgart W, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Stuttgart W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Stuttgart W win

48.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SC Sand W home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Stuttgart W away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Stuttgart W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 23% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.37 goals for SC Sand W and 1.85 for Stuttgart W, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SC Sand W win29%
Draw23%
Stuttgart W win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 0–26.8%

Recent form

SC Sand W

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hoffenheim II W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum W · 0-3 (L)

Stuttgart W

  • 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Wolfsburg W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Nürnberg W · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs 1899 Hoffenheim W · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoria Berlin W109011227
2SGS Essen W107212123
3Hertha Berlin W10721723
4Bochum W106221420
5Meppen W10442716
6Ingolstadt W10433315
7Carl Zeiss Jena W10415113
8Borussia Monchengladbach W10415-113
9Andernach W10415-913
10SC Sand W10334-312
11Eintracht Frankfurt II W10316-1210
12Hoffenheim II W10127-105
13Turbine Potsdam W10127-155
14FC Koln II W10028-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Stuttgart W win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.