· Analysis updated 13:44 UTC
SC Sopron vs Pápai Perutz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for SC Sopron and 0.80 for Pápai Perutz, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives SC Sopron the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
SC Sopron win
67.4% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SC Sopron home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SC Sopron to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 19% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for SC Sopron and 0.80 for Pápai Perutz, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 48%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–08.5%
Recent form
SC Sopron
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1908 SZAC · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Veszprém · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Király SZE · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sárisápi Bányász · 0-1 (L)
Pápai Perutz
- 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haladás VSE · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs MTE 1904 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Puskás II · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haladás VSE | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 | Dorogi FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Tatabánya | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 |
| 4 | Sárisápi Bányász | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | MTE 1904 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | SC Sopron | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Bicskei | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Komárom | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Gyori ETO II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Puskás II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Pápai Perutz | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Veszprém | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Király SZE | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Balatonalmádi | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -25 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SC Sopron win, at 67.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.