· Analysis updated 15:38 UTC
SC Torrevieja vs Crevillente Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for SC Torrevieja and 1.25 for Crevillente, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Crevillente the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
70.5% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SC Torrevieja home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Crevillente away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crevillente to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 30% / 29% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for SC Torrevieja and 1.25 for Crevillente, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–28.2%
Recent form
SC Torrevieja
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Levante II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Saguntino · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Roda · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Soneja · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Acero · 0-2 (L)
Crevillente
- 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Levante II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Villarreal III · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Ontinyent 1931 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Saguntino · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Roda · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Levante II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Vall de Uxó | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Torrent | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Crevillente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Eldense B | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Roda | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Acero | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Saguntino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Atzeneta | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Soneja | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | SC Torrevieja | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Ontinyent 1931 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Jove Español | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Buñol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Torrellano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Utiel | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.