Sportplatz Rheinwiese · Analysis updated 16:28 UTC
Schaan II vs Triesenberg II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.00 expected goals for Schaan II and 1.42 for Triesenberg II, a combined total of 5.42. That distribution gives Schaan II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 81%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 81% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Schaan II win
81.4% probability
Expected goals
4.00 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Schaan II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Schaan II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 81%, against 81% / 10% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.00 goals for Schaan II and 1.42 for Triesenberg II, a combined 5.42 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 73%, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
19%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.7%
- 3–16.7%
- 5–15.4%
- 2–15.0%
- 4–24.8%
Recent form
Schaan II
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Triesen II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Balzers III · 6-0 (W)
- 2025-09-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Triesenberg · 0-6 (L)
- 2024-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Eschen / Mauren II · 0-3 (L)
- 2023-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Triesen · 1-4 (L)
Triesenberg II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 |
| 2 | Balzers II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Ruggell II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Schaan II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Triesenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Triesen II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Schaan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Vaduz III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Eschen / Mauren II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | Ruggell III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 11 | Eschen / Mauren III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 12 | Balzers III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 13 | Triesenberg II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | Triesen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Schaan II win, at 81.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 81% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.